Re: [HOE] NEVER buy cyberware from a junker! [Shane]

[Theo McGuckin <tsm@jlab.org>]

> or if you look at it the other way
> 
> there's a 19 in 20 chance it won't malfunction and a 3 in four chance that
> if it does it won't be critical.
> 
> You just need to tone down those negative waves and look at things more
> positively.

"Yeah man, like, relax dude, or you'll give yourself a heart <ack>..."
"What happened to him?"
"A 1/80 chance."

> I don't see a 1.25% chance adding up to a 50/50 after a couple of
> months unless you have really REALLY upset the dice fieties, ruined
> your dice karma or what ever else you prefer to call your dice turning
> on you.

It has nothing to do with your dice turning on you, it's just that over
time the odds stack against you.

1.25% chance/day of it dying equals a 98.75% of it not dying on the first
day, or a 97.5 chance of it not dying by the second day, or a 96.3% of it
not dying by the third day...
<much later>
... or a 68.5% chance of it not dying by the 30th day (why are you holding
your chest like that?)...
<still later>
... or a 47% chance of it not dying by the 60th day (you look kinda pale
weitzel, you ok?)...
<even later>
... or a 32% chance of it not dying by the 90th day (where'd weitzel go?
He died like... 20% ago man.)

;)

Theo McGuckin - SysAdmin, JLab, Safety Warden (Bldg. 85)


	"And oh yes... you must find the Jade Monkey before the next full
	 moon."
	"Actually sir, we found the Jade Monkey; it was in your glove
	 compartment."
	"And the road maps?  And ice scraper?"
	"They were in there too, sir."
	"Ex-cellent!  It's all falling into place."